Almost five months have gone by since I learned that I missed the 2019 Boston Marathon Cut-off by 1 second. Enough time has passed for my bruised feeling to heal. Even though as I said before, try harder next time, a few questions need to be addressed.
And they are:
- What is the qualifying time for age 60?
- How much faster do I need to beat the qualifying time (#1) to make the cut-off?
- What pace do I need to run to meet the time required from #2?
- How should I train to achieve the fitness level for the pace in #3?
My goal remains the same – qualifying fast enough to run in the Boston Marathon.
Before the marathon training starts in two months, an overarching question is how fast do I need to achieve this year to run the 2020 Boston Marathon? The answer to this and other associated questions will determine how I need to train.
Pardon the geek in me, but my approach and the answers are as follows:
- 3 hrs 50 min 00 sec (men 60 – 64)
- Here is the geeky part. I took a look at the cut off times since 2012 when BAA started the rolling admission: 2019 (4:52), 2018 (3:23), 2017 (2:09), 2016 (2:28), 2015 (1:02), 2014 (1:38). In 2013 overflow runners were deferred to 2014. And in 2012 the cutoff was actually 5 minutes SLOWER than the qualifying times. And I did a linear regression (or extrapolate) on the cutoffs and got 4 min 40 sec for 2020 which means I need to run a qualifying marathon under 3 hr 45 min 20 sec (assuming my math is correct).
- 8:36 is the pace using the McMillan calculator.
- My training will pretty much mirror the last year’s maybe with a few tweaks.
There you have it.
Which questions do you need to answer to achieve your goals?